Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.070604 0.078181 0.086496 0.096344 0.107751 0.120622 0.136347
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.058495 0.068580 0.080547 0.095981 0.115642 0.140240 0.173992
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.051015 0.062509 0.077014 0.097073 0.124781 0.162804 0.221017
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.045662 0.057959 0.074271 0.098186 0.133626 0.186497 0.276348
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041517 0.054247 0.071850 0.098979 0.141752 0.210629 0.340020
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037984 0.050832 0.069226 0.098809 0.148055 0.233048 0.408668
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034821 0.047529 0.066259 0.097492 0.152004 0.252119 0.478288
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.032932 0.045855 0.065471 0.099429 0.161737 0.284190 0.590405
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030574 0.043221 0.062854 0.097845 0.164646 0.303385 0.681709
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029028 0.041684 0.061798 0.098772 0.172450 0.335143 0.825608
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027368 0.039814 0.059987 0.098046 0.176735 0.360152 0.966749
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026251 0.038720 0.059356 0.099403 0.185632 0.399298 1.187857
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025169 0.037619 0.058646 0.100595 0.194653 0.442818 1.474107
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023942 0.036184 0.057215 0.100173 0.199935 0.478280 1.771318
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023046 0.035245 0.056589 0.101312 0.209283 0.530238 2.234368
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022231 0.034382 0.056017 0.102483 0.219018 0.588359 2.853125
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021441 0.033506 0.055336 0.103321 0.228109 0.649261 3.652605
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020596 0.032473 0.054264 0.103139 0.234389 0.703390 4.576987
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019684 0.031261 0.052746 0.101744 0.236916 0.744204 5.536362
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019208 0.030814 0.052699 0.103795 0.250281 0.841079 7.748367
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018387 0.029679 0.051182 0.102117 0.251711 0.883686 9.458844
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017882 0.029105 0.050763 0.103099 0.262047 0.979445 13.240839
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017246 0.028249 0.049699 0.102330 0.266407 1.047205 17.398250